Match Info

Date: 8 April 2021, Thursday


	Feliciano Lopez		Carlos Alcaraz Garfia

	1	2
	3.2	1.36	Watch
	3.1	1.36
	3.15	1.36	Watch
	3.05	1.35
	3.28	1.39
	3.1	1.36	Watch
	3.05	1.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.13 ↓ (3.36)	1.37 ↑ (1.33)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Feliciano Lopez
30.4%

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
69.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.4%

71.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27%

73%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Feliciano Lopez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Feliciano Lopez than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlos Alcaraz Garfia than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	0%	57.1%

Feliciano Lopez - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia Predictions

Users Predictions: 42 users predict this event. Lopez will win (votes: 18 - 42.9%). Alcaraz Garfia will win (votes: 24 - 57.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alcaraz Garfia: 42.1% – 72.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Lopez is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Alcaraz Garfia is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Alcaraz Garfia is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Feliciano Lopez
ATP Marbella
06.04.21	Feliciano Lopez - Taro Daniel	2:0 ✺
ATP Miami
24.03.21	Feliciano Lopez - Alexei Popyrin	0:2 ✺
ATP Acapulco
16.03.21	Miomir Kecmanovic - Feliciano Lopez	2:0 ✺
ATP Marseille
09.03.21	Jo-Wilfried Tsonga - Feliciano Lopez	2:1 ✺
ATP Australian Open
12.02.21	Andrey Rublev - Feliciano Lopez	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLLLL
- Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
ATP Marbella
06.04.21	Nikola Milojevic - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
24.03.21	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Emil Ruusuvuori	1:2 ✺
ATP Acapulco
15.03.21	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Alexander Zverev	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
04.03.21	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Marco Trungelliti	0:2 ✺
02.03.21	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Filip Cristian Jianu	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WLLLW

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