Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Vienna, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 30 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Vienna 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Tommy Paul		Carlos Alcaraz Garfia

	1	2
	4.00	1.25	Watch
	3.70	1.26
	3.8	1.25
	3.99	1.26	Watch
	3.95	1.27
	3.96	1.27	Watch
	3.8	1.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.89 ↓ (4.56)	1.26 ↑ (1.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tommy Paul
24.5%

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
75.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

20.8%

79.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tommy Paul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Tommy Paul - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Alcaraz Garfia will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Alcaraz Garfia (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Paul is ranked ATP: 14., and Alcaraz Garfia is ranked ATP: 3..

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paul won 0.

Both players are currently displaying solid and consistent form.

Paul may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Alcaraz Garfia carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Paul has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:20 (averaging 0.6:2 goals per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tommy Paul
ATP Vienna
29.10.26	Tommy Paul - Luciano Darderi	2:0 ✺
27.10.26	Tommy Paul - Andrey Rublev	2:0 ✺
ATP Lyon
24.10.26	Tommy Paul - Taylor Harry Fritz	0:2 ✺
23.10.26	Corentin Moutet - Tommy Paul	1:2 ✺
21.10.26	Benjamin Bonzi - Tommy Paul	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWLWW
- Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
ATP Vienna
29.10.26	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:2 ✺
27.10.26	Karen Khachanov - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
12.10.26	Zizou Bergs - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	2:0 ✺
10.10.26	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:2 ✺
ATP Tokyo
06.10.26	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Jiri Lehecka	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP US Open
06.09.26	Tommy Paul - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:3
ATP Australian Open
24.01.26	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Tommy Paul	3:0
ATP Roland Garros
03.06.25	Tommy Paul - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:3
ATP Olympic Games
01.08.24	Tommy Paul - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:2
ATP Wimbledon
09.07.24	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Tommy Paul	3:1
ATP Cincinnati
17.08.23	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Tommy Paul	2:1
ATP Toronto
11.08.23	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Tommy Paul	1:2

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tommy Paul
ATP Paris
02.11.26	Tommy Paul - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	✺
- Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
ATP Vienna
31.10.26	Daniil Medvedev - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	✺

Tommy Paul - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia