Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sao Leopoldo, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 31 March 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Sao Leopoldo 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves		Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo

	1	2
	1.36	3	Watch
			Watch
	1.35	2.9	Watch
	1.39	3.16
	1.35	2.94	Watch
	1.36	3	Watch
	1.35	2.94	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.57)	2.99 ↑ (2.25)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
68.7%

Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
31.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

58.9%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.2%

39.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves's performance.

Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Meligeni is ranked ATP: 240. Aguilar Cardozo is ranked ATP: 540.

Recent performances by Meligeni have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Aguilar Cardozo is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Aguilar Cardozo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Meligeni is the team to beat.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - the odds 1.57 are the expected chance of winning is 58.9%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
ATP Challenger
26.03.26	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Jaime Faria	1:2 ✺
24.03.26	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Victor Braga	2:0 ✺
12.03.26	Daniel Vallejo - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves	2:1 ✺
10.03.26	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Benjamin Torrealba	2:1 ✺
03.03.26	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Joao Eduardo Schiessl	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LWLWL
- Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
ATP Challenger
26.02.26	Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	Aguilar Cardozo J. retired ✺
24.02.26	Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo - Eduardo Ribeiro	2:1 ✺
23.02.26	Franco Ribero - Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo	1:2 ✺
22.02.26	Nicolas Bruna - Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo	0:2 ✺
18.02.26	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 ?WWWL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
ATP Challenger
30.10.26	Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo - Lautaro Midon	✺

Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo