Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sao Leopoldo, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 2 April 2026, Thursday


	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves		Juan Manuel La Serna

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.46	2.55	Watch
	1.54	2.6
	1.47	2.5	Watch
	1.44	2.63
	1.45	2.55	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.43)	2.58 ↓ (2.61)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
63.7%

Juan Manuel La Serna
36.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.6%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.7%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Juan Manuel La Serna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Manuel La Serna than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Juan Manuel La Serna, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Juan Manuel La Serna Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Meligeni will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). La Serna will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Meligeni is ranked ATP: 324. La Serna is ranked ATP: 355.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Meligeni may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Meligeni could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
ATP Challenger
31.03.26	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo	Meligeni Alves F. Retired ✺
26.03.26	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Jaime Faria	1:2 ✺
24.03.26	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Victor Braga	2:0 ✺
12.03.26	Daniel Vallejo - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves	2:1 ✺
10.03.26	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Benjamin Torrealba	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 ?LWLW
- Juan Manuel La Serna
ATP Challenger
31.03.26	Juan Manuel La Serna - Guido Ivan Justo	2:1 ✺
27.03.26	Nicolas Villalon - Juan Manuel La Serna	2:1 ✺
25.03.26	Carlos Maria Zarate - Juan Manuel La Serna	1:2 ✺
23.03.26	Felix Corwin - Juan Manuel La Serna	0:2 ✺
26.02.26	Diego Dedura-Palomero - Juan Manuel La Serna	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLWWL

Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Juan Manuel La Serna: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide