Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo (Monaco), clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 8 April 2024, Monday

Referee: Gabas A. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1, Max Sport 3
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 3
Denmark	TV2 Sport X
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu
France	Eurosport 1
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Poland	Polsat Sport Extra
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 2
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Felix Aliassime-Auger		Luca Nardi

	1	2
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.57	2.35
	1.52	2.5	Watch
	1.56	2.56
	1.57	2.56
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.67	2.22	Watch
	1.63	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.63)	2.39 ↑ (2.1)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Felix Aliassime-Auger
59.9%

Luca Nardi
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.3%

43.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.2%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Felix Aliassime-Auger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Luca Nardi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Felix Aliassime-Auger than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Nardi than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.6%	0%	72.4%

Felix Aliassime Auger - Luca Nardi Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Aliassime-Auger will win (votes: 8 - 27.6%). Nardi will win (votes: 21 - 72.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nardi: 56.1% – 88.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Aliassime-Auger is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Nardi in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Aliassime-Auger could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Felix Aliassime-Auger
ATP Miami
23.03.24	Alexander Zverev - Felix Aliassime-Auger	2:0 ✺
21.03.24	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Adam Walton	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
10.03.24	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:2 ✺
08.03.24	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Constant Lestienne	2:0 ✺
ATP Acapulco
26.02.24	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Flavio Cobolli	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LWLWL
- Luca Nardi
ATP Monte Carlo
07.04.24	Alexandre Muller - Luca Nardi	1:2 ✺
06.04.24	Lucas Pouille - Luca Nardi	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
31.03.24	Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Luca Nardi	1:2 ✺
30.03.24	Francesco Passaro - Luca Nardi	1:2 ✺
29.03.24	Matteo Gigante - Luca Nardi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWWWW

Felix Aliassime-Auger - Luca Nardi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide