Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo (Monaco) - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 6 April 2024, Saturday

Referee: Noble S. (Gbr)


	Lucas Pouille		Luca Nardi

	1	2
			Watch
	2.15	1.65
	2.15	1.65	Watch
	2.21	1.69
	2.21	1.69
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.14	1.67	Watch
	2.14	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.28)	1.67 ↑ (1.62)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lucas Pouille
43.6%

Luca Nardi
56.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

58.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

59.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lucas Pouille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Luca Nardi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucas Pouille than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Nardi than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Lucas Pouille - Luca Nardi Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Pouille will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Nardi will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nardi: 35.9% – 97.5%.

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Preview

Recent matches Pouille is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Nardi is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Nardi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Our prediction for today's Nardi to win the game is with odds 1.67.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lucas Pouille
ATP Estoril
01.04.24	Lucas Pouille - Nuno Borges	1:2 ✺
31.03.24	Richard Gasquet - Lucas Pouille	1:2 ✺
30.03.24	Frederico Ferreira Silva - Lucas Pouille	0:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
08.03.24	Lucas Pouille - Stefanos Tsitsipas	0:2 ✺
07.03.24	Lucas Pouille - Daniel Altmaier	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWWLW
- Luca Nardi
ATP Challenger
31.03.24	Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Luca Nardi	1:2 ✺
30.03.24	Francesco Passaro - Luca Nardi	1:2 ✺
29.03.24	Matteo Gigante - Luca Nardi	1:2 ✺
29.03.24	Matteo Martineau - Luca Nardi	0:2 ✺
27.03.24	Jozef Kovalik - Luca Nardi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWWWW

Lucas Pouille - Luca Nardi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide