Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Aix en Provence - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 27 April 2026, Monday


	Felix Balshaw		Matteo Martineau

	1	2
			Watch
	1.67	2.07
	1.71	2.17
	1.66	2.11	Watch
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.67	2.08	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.73)	2.11 ↑ (2)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Felix Balshaw
55.7%

Matteo Martineau
44.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.4%

49.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Felix Balshaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Matteo Martineau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Felix Balshaw than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Felix Balshaw that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Martineau than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Matteo Martineau could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Felix Balshaw - Matteo Martineau Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Balshaw will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Balshaw is ranked ATP: 595. Martineau is ranked ATP: 323.

Balshaw is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Martineau has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Balshaw may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Matteo Martineau - the odds 2 are the expected chance of winning is 46.38%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Felix Balshaw
ITF Tournaments
22.04.26	Felix Balshaw - Oriol Roca Batalla	1:2 ✺
19.04.26	Sander Jong - Felix Balshaw	0:2 ✺
18.04.26	Felix Balshaw - David Jorda Sanchis	2:1 ✺
17.04.26	Felix Balshaw - Sergio Callejon Hernando	2:0 ✺
16.04.26	Felix Balshaw - Peter Fajta	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LWWWW
- Matteo Martineau
ITF Tournaments
24.04.26	Matteo Martineau - Oriol Roca Batalla	0:2 ✺
23.04.26	Matteo Martineau - Filippo Moroni	2:1 ✺
22.04.26	Matteo Martineau - Sergi Perez Contri	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
03.04.26	Matteo Martineau - Raul Brancaccio	1:2 ✺
01.04.26	Matteo Martineau - Pedro Vives Marcos	Vives Marcos P. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWWL?

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