Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 10, clay - Final

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday


	Felix Gill		Daniel Michalski

	1	2
			Watch
	2.23	1.63
	2.17	1.60	Watch
	2.16	1.64	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.5)	1.62 ↑ (1.51)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Felix Gill
42.6%

Daniel Michalski
57.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

62.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

63.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Felix Gill has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Daniel Michalski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Felix Gill than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Felix Gill that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Michalski than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Daniel Michalski could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Felix Gill - Daniel Michalski Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 Games - Michalski (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Michalski (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Gill is ranked ATP: 621. Michalski is ranked ATP: 338.

Gill has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Michalski is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Michalski is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Michalski will win today's game, with odds of 1.62.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Gill won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Daniel Michalski - the odds 1.51 are the expected chance of winning is 62.34%, but this team recently wins 88% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Felix Gill
ITF Tournaments
10.10.25	Felix Gill - Massimo Giunta	2:0 ✺
09.10.25	Sebastian Sorger - Felix Gill	0:2 ✺
08.10.25	Felix Gill - Federico Iannaccone	2:0 ✺
07.10.25	Felix Gill - Ilias Zimmermann	2:0 ✺
26.09.25	Nerman Fatic - Felix Gill	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWWWL
- Daniel Michalski
ITF Tournaments
10.10.25	Tim Handel - Daniel Michalski	0:2 ✺
09.10.25	Andrey Chepelev - Daniel Michalski	1:2 ✺
08.10.25	Giovanni Oradini - Daniel Michalski	0:2 ✺
07.10.25	Sebastiano Cocola - Daniel Michalski	0:2 ✺
04.10.25	Daniel Michalski - Michele Ribecai	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
14.04.21	Felix Gill - Daniel Michalski	1:2

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