Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Kigali 2 (Rwanda), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 March 2025, Tuesday


	Filip Cristian Jianu		Daniel Michalski

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.86	1.84	Watch
	1.88	1.95
	1.85	1.92	Watch
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.86	1.86	Watch
	1.86	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (2.05)	1.88 ↑ (1.71)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Filip Cristian Jianu
50.4%

Daniel Michalski
49.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

54.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

55.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Filip Cristian Jianu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Daniel Michalski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Filip Cristian Jianu than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Filip Cristian Jianu that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Michalski than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Daniel Michalski could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Filip Cristian Jianu - Daniel Michalski Predictions

Users Predictions: Filip Cristian Jianu will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Jianu is ranked ATP: 222. Michalski is ranked ATP: 334.

Recent matches Jianu is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Michalski is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Michalski could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Our prediction for today's Michalski to win the game is with odds 1.79.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Filip Cristian Jianu
ATP Challenger
27.02.25	Filip Cristian Jianu - Valentin Royer	1:2 ✺
26.02.25	Filip Cristian Jianu - Neil Oberleitner	2:0 ✺
25.02.25	Filip Cristian Jianu - Nicholas David Ionel	2:0 ✺
12.02.25	Filip Cristian Jianu - Duje Ajdukovic	1:2 ✺
11.02.25	Filip Cristian Jianu - Petr Bar-Biryukov	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWWLW
- Daniel Michalski
ATP Challenger
03.03.25	Daniel Michalski - Facundo Juarez	2:1 ✺
02.03.25	Daniel Michalski - Sebastian Prechtel	2:0 ✺
24.02.25	Daniel Michalski - Neil Oberleitner	0:2 ✺
23.02.25	Daniel Michalski - Etienne Niyigena	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
09.02.25	Zdenek Kolar - Daniel Michalski	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWLWW

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