Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Ilkley, grass - 1/8-finals

Date: 12 June 2026, Friday


	Filippo Romano		Jack Pinnington Jones

	1	2
	3.00	1.36	Watch
	3.10	1.33
	2.60	1.48
	3.23	1.40
	2.93	1.34	Watch
	3.00	1.36
	2.89	1.36	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↑ (2.1)	1.38 ↓ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Filippo Romano
31.7%

Jack Pinnington Jones
68.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

56.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

63.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Filippo Romano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Filippo Romano's form might have worsened.

Jack Pinnington Jones has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jack Pinnington Jones's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Filippo Romano than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jack Pinnington Jones than the current prediction. (-5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	0%	70%

Filippo Romano - Jack Pinnington Jones Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Romano will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Pinnington Jones will win (votes: 7 - 70%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pinnington Jones: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Romano is ranked ATP: 355. Pinnington Jones is ranked ATP: 133.

Romano is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Pinnington Jones has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Romano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Pinnington Jones could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Filippo Romano - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 43.91%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Filippo Romano
ATP Challenger
10.06.26	Felix Gill - Filippo Romano	1:2 ✺
08.06.26	Filippo Romano - Alastair Gray	2:0 ✺
08.06.26	Michael Mmoh - Filippo Romano	0:2 ✺
05.06.26	Filippo Romano - Otto Virtanen	0:2 ✺
04.06.26	Chak Lam Coleman Wong - Filippo Romano	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WWWLW
- Jack Pinnington Jones
ATP Challenger
08.06.26	Harry Wendelken - Jack Pinnington Jones	0:2 ✺
02.06.26	Jack Pinnington Jones - Aleksandar Vukic	1:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
18.05.26	Vitaliy Sachko - Jack Pinnington Jones	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.05.26	Colton Smith - Jack Pinnington Jones	2:0 ✺
11.05.26	Darwin Blanch - Jack Pinnington Jones	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLLLW

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