Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Oeiras 6, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 13 May 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Oeiras 6 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Colton Smith		Jack Pinnington Jones

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.65	1.42	Watch
	2.82	1.47
	2.84	1.38	Watch
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.69	1.41	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↑ (2.7)	1.42 ↑ (1.4)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colton Smith
34.2%

Jack Pinnington Jones
65.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.1%

65.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

64%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colton Smith has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Jack Pinnington Jones has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colton Smith than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jack Pinnington Jones than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Colton Smith - Jack Pinnington Jones Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Pinnington Jones will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Smith is ranked ATP: 190. Pinnington Jones is ranked ATP: 137.

Recent form of Smith has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Pinnington Jones has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Pinnington Jones may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Pinnington Jones will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Smith won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Colton Smith
ATP Challenger
11.05.26	Jurij Rodionov - Colton Smith	0:2 ✺
20.04.26	Kei Nishikori - Colton Smith	2:0 ✺
14.04.26	Colton Smith - Garrett Johns	0:2 ✺
06.04.26	Tyler Zink - Colton Smith	2:1 ✺
ATP Houston
30.03.26	Colton Smith - Thiago Augustin Tirante	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WLLLL
- Jack Pinnington Jones
ATP Challenger
11.05.26	Darwin Blanch - Jack Pinnington Jones	1:2 ✺
ATP Roma
04.05.26	Patrick Kypson - Jack Pinnington Jones	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
28.04.26	Nerman Fatic - Jack Pinnington Jones	2:0 ✺
ATP Houston
30.03.26	Jack Pinnington Jones - Zhizhen Zhang	0:2 ✺
29.03.26	Jack Pinnington Jones - Darwin Blanch	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
04.10.24	Jack Pinnington Jones - Colton Smith	2:0

Colton Smith - Jack Pinnington Jones