Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: ACAPULCO (MEXICO), HARD - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 28 February 2024, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 3
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Prima Sport 3
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Flavio Cobolli		Stefanos Tsitsipas

	1	2
	5.5	1.14	Watch
	5.25	1.15	Watch
	5	1.16	Watch
	5.68	1.18
	5.5	1.14	Watch
	5.7	1.15	Watch
	5.4	1.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.43 ↑ (3.2)	1.15 ↓ (1.32)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Flavio Cobolli
17.5%

Stefanos Tsitsipas
82.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.2%

70.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.5%

69.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Flavio Cobolli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Flavio Cobolli's form might have worsened.

Stefanos Tsitsipas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stefanos Tsitsipas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flavio Cobolli than the current prediction. (+13%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Flavio Cobolli, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stefanos Tsitsipas than the current prediction. (-13%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stefanos Tsitsipas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Flavio Cobolli - Stefanos Tsitsipas Predictions

Users Predictions: Stefanos Tsitsipas will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Now both players are in good shape.

Tsitsipas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Tsitsipas is the unquestionable favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Flavio Cobolli
ATP Acapulco
26.02.24	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Flavio Cobolli	1:2 ✺
25.02.24	Flavio Cobolli - Constant Lestienne	2:1 ✺
24.02.24	Flavio Cobolli - Brandon Holt	2:1 ✺
ATP Los Cabos
20.02.24	Flavio Cobolli - Yoshihito Nishioka	0:2 ✺
18.02.24	Flavio Cobolli - Marc Polmans	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWWLW
- Stefanos Tsitsipas
ATP Acapulco
27.02.24	Roman Safiullin - Stefanos Tsitsipas	0:2 ✺
ATP Los Cabos
23.02.24	Casper Ruud - Stefanos Tsitsipas	2:0 ✺
22.02.24	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Stefanos Tsitsipas	0:2 ✺
21.02.24	Aleksandar Vukic - Stefanos Tsitsipas	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
04.02.24	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Nicholas David Ionel	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLWW?

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