Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: St. Tropez - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 15 September 2025, Monday


	Florent Bax		Etienne Donnet

	1	2
			Watch
	1.83	1.83
			Watch
	1.92	1.77	Watch
	2.04	1.71	Watch
	1.85	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.85)	1.79 ↓ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Florent Bax
48.4%

Etienne Donnet
51.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7%

48.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Florent Bax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Etienne Donnet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Florent Bax than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Etienne Donnet than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Florent Bax - Etienne Donnet Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 Games - Donnet (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Donnet (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Bax is ranked ATP: 303. Donnet is ranked ATP: 474.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Donnet may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Bax won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Florent Bax - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Florent Bax
ATP Challenger
14.09.25	Florent Bax - Adrien Gobat	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
04.09.25	Florent Bax - Leo Lagarrigue	0:2 ✺
03.09.25	Florent Bax - Adrien Burdet	2:0 ✺
31.08.25	Florent Bax - Maxime Chazal	1:2 ✺
30.08.25	Florent Bax - Axel Garcian	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLWLW
- Etienne Donnet
ATP Challenger
14.09.25	Egor Gerasimov - Etienne Donnet	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
12.09.25	Etienne Donnet - Remy Bertola	0:2 ✺
11.09.25	Etienne Donnet - Leonardo Cattaneo	2:0 ✺
09.09.25	Etienne Donnet - Jacopo Bilardo	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
04.09.25	Etienne Donnet - Justin Engel	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
27.06.25	Florent Bax - Etienne Donnet	0:2

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