Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Santa Margherita di Pula 2, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 9 April 2026, Thursday


	Francesca Curmi		Alena Kovackova

	1	2
			Watch
	2.1	1.65	Watch
	2.14	1.72
	2.08	1.65	Watch
	1.95	1.75
	2.1	1.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (1.83)	1.69 ↓ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francesca Curmi
44.8%

Alena Kovackova
55.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

48.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francesca Curmi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Francesca Curmi's form might have worsened.

Alena Kovackova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alena Kovackova's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francesca Curmi than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Francesca Curmi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alena Kovackova than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alena Kovackova, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Francesca Curmi - Alena Kovackova Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Games - Kovackova (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kovackova (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Curmi is ranked WTA: 395. Kovackova is ranked WTA: 569.

Recent performances by Curmi have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Kovackova is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Kovackova may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

We predict that Kovackova will win today's game, with odds of 1.7.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francesca Curmi
ITF Tournaments
08.04.26	Francesca Curmi - Petra Konjikusic	2:0 ✺
27.03.26	Francesca Curmi - Vendula Valdmannova	0:2 ✺
24.03.26	Francesca Curmi - Manon Leonard	2:1 ✺
11.03.26	Adithya Karunaratne - Francesca Curmi	2:0 ✺
18.02.26	Francesca Curmi - Shrivalli Rashmikaa Bhamidipaty	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLWLL
- Alena Kovackova
ITF Tournaments
08.04.26	Alena Kovackova - Yelyzaveta Kotliar	2:0 ✺
04.04.26	Rositsa Dencheva - Alena Kovackova	1:2 ✺
03.04.26	Lisa Zaar - Alena Kovackova	0:2 ✺
02.04.26	Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur - Alena Kovackova	0:2 ✺
31.03.26	Alena Kovackova - Tyra Caterina Grant	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWWWW

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