Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Santa Margherita di Pula 3, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 16 April 2026, Thursday


	Francesca Curmi		Georgia Pedone

	1	2
			Watch
	1.3	3.2	Watch
	1.35	3.27
	1.31	3.09	Watch
	1.3	3.1
	1.29	3.27	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.51)	3.19 ↑ (2.5)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francesca Curmi
70.9%

Georgia Pedone
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.3%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francesca Curmi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Francesca Curmi's performance.

Georgia Pedone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Georgia Pedone might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francesca Curmi than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Francesca Curmi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Georgia Pedone than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Georgia Pedone could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Francesca Curmi - Georgia Pedone Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Curmi is ranked WTA: 398. Pedone is ranked WTA: 332.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Pedone may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Curmi is a strong favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francesca Curmi
ITF Tournaments
14.04.26	Beatrice Ricci - Francesca Curmi	0:2 ✺
09.04.26	Francesca Curmi - Alena Kovackova	0:2 ✺
08.04.26	Francesca Curmi - Petra Konjikusic	2:0 ✺
27.03.26	Francesca Curmi - Vendula Valdmannova	0:2 ✺
24.03.26	Francesca Curmi - Manon Leonard	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLWLW
- Georgia Pedone
ITF Tournaments
14.04.26	Charo Esquiva Banuls - Georgia Pedone	0:2 ✺
07.04.26	Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur - Georgia Pedone	2:0 ✺
03.04.26	Anastasiya Soboleva - Georgia Pedone	0:2 ✺
02.04.26	Francesca Gandolfi - Georgia Pedone	2:0 ✺
01.04.26	Katerina Tsygourova - Georgia Pedone	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WLWLW

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