Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W50 Croissy-Beaubourg, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 24 March 2026, Tuesday


	Francesca Curmi		Manon Leonard

	1	2
			Watch
	1.65	2.1
	1.76	2.08
	1.72	1.98	Watch
	1.7	2
	1.69	2.02	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.65)	2.04 ↓ (2.09)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francesca Curmi
54.4%

Manon Leonard
45.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

44.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francesca Curmi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Manon Leonard has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francesca Curmi than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manon Leonard than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Francesca Curmi - Manon Leonard Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Curmi will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Leonard will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Curmi is ranked WTA: 365. Leonard is ranked WTA: 272.

The current form of both players is below expectations.

Curmi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Curmi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francesca Curmi
ITF Tournaments
11.03.26	Adithya Karunaratne - Francesca Curmi	2:0 ✺
18.02.26	Francesca Curmi - Shrivalli Rashmikaa Bhamidipaty	0:2 ✺
11.02.26	Sohyun Park - Francesca Curmi	2:0 ✺
09.02.26	Rina Saigo - Francesca Curmi	1:2 ✺
04.02.26	Elizara Yaneva - Francesca Curmi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLLWL
- Manon Leonard
ITF Tournaments
17.03.26	Matilde Jorge - Manon Leonard	2:0 ✺
25.02.26	Manon Leonard - Sofya Lansere	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
19.02.26	Andrea Lazaro Garcia - Manon Leonard	2:1 ✺
17.02.26	Manon Leonard - Raluca Georgiana Serban	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
11.02.26	Manon Leonard - Ekaterina Kazionova	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
08.10.24	Francesca Curmi - Manon Leonard	2:0

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