Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Norman, OK, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 24 October 2025, Friday


	Francesca Pace		Merna Refaat

	1	2
			Watch
	2.6	1.43	Watch
	2.48	1.51
	3.07	1.31	Watch
	2.48	1.49	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↓ (3.2)	1.44 ↑ (1.31)

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francesca Pace
35.1%

Merna Refaat
64.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29%

71%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.8%

71.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francesca Pace has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Francesca Pace's performance.

Merna Refaat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Merna Refaat might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francesca Pace than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Francesca Pace that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Merna Refaat than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Merna Refaat could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Francesca Pace - Merna Refaat Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Pace is ranked WTA: 489. Refaat is ranked WTA: 682.

Pace is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Refaat has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Refaat may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Refaat is the team to beat.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francesca Pace
ITF Tournaments
23.10.25	Francesca Pace - Maria Berlanga Bandera	2:0 ✺
22.10.25	Lucciana Perez Alarcon - Francesca Pace	0:2 ✺
16.10.25	Francesca Pace - Kate Fakih	0:2 ✺
15.10.25	Francesca Pace - Salma Drugdova	2:1 ✺
12.10.25	Lea Ma - Francesca Pace	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 WWLWW
- Merna Refaat
ITF Tournaments
23.10.25	Lucia Peyre - Merna Refaat	1:2 ✺
22.10.25	Merna Refaat - Evialina Laskevich	2:0 ✺
15.10.25	Renata Zarazua - Merna Refaat	2:0 ✺
01.10.25	Merna Refaat - Madison Sieg	0:2 ✺
28.09.25	Merna Refaat - Johanne Christine Svendsen	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWLLW

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