Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Norman, OK, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 22 October 2025, Wednesday


	Lucciana Perez Alarcon		Francesca Pace

	1	2
			Watch
	1.5	2.4
	1.51	2.45
	3.54	1.23	Watch
	1.5	2.45	Watch
	1.36	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.37)	2.31 ↓ (2.99)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lucciana Perez Alarcon
55.1%

Francesca Pace
44.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.6%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.8%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lucciana Perez Alarcon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lucciana Perez Alarcon's form might have worsened.

Francesca Pace has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Francesca Pace's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucciana Perez Alarcon than the current prediction. (+13.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lucciana Perez Alarcon, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francesca Pace than the current prediction. (-13.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Francesca Pace, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Lucciana Perez Alarcon - Francesca Pace Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Perez Alarcon is ranked WTA: 441. Pace is ranked WTA: 489.

In recent matches, Perez Alarcon has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Pace is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Perez Alarcon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Perez Alarcon is the team to beat.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lucciana Perez Alarcon
ITF Tournaments
14.10.25	Lucciana Perez Alarcon - Kristina Liutova	0:2 ✺
05.10.25	Madison Brengle - Lucciana Perez Alarcon	2:0 ✺
04.10.25	Johanne Christine Svendsen - Lucciana Perez Alarcon	Svendsen J. C. retired ✺
03.10.25	Lucciana Perez Alarcon - Madison Sieg	2:1 ✺
02.10.25	Christasha McNeil - Lucciana Perez Alarcon	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LL?WW
- Francesca Pace
ITF Tournaments
16.10.25	Francesca Pace - Kate Fakih	0:2 ✺
15.10.25	Francesca Pace - Salma Drugdova	2:1 ✺
12.10.25	Lea Ma - Francesca Pace	1:2 ✺
11.10.25	Akasha Urhobo - Francesca Pace	1:2 ✺
10.10.25	Francesca Pace - Katarina Jokic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.5 LWWWW

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