Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cattolica, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 12 June 2026, Friday


	Francesco Forti		Andrea Guerrieri

	1	2
			Watch
	2.30	1.55
	2.28	1.60
	2.49	1.60
	2.3	1.55	Watch
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.27	1.56	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (2.9)	1.57 ↑ (1.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francesco Forti
40.1%

Andrea Guerrieri
59.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.7%

68.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9%

67.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francesco Forti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Francesco Forti's performance.

Andrea Guerrieri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Andrea Guerrieri might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francesco Forti than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Francesco Forti that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrea Guerrieri than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Andrea Guerrieri could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Francesco Forti - Andrea Guerrieri Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Forti is ranked ATP: 396. Guerrieri is ranked ATP: 231.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

Guerrieri may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Guerrieri could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Guerrieri will win today's game, with odds of 1.62.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francesco Forti
ATP Challenger
10.06.26	Francesco Forti - Franco Agamenone	2:1 ✺
09.06.26	Gonzalo Bueno - Francesco Forti	1:2 ✺
08.06.26	Francesco Forti - Samuele Pieri	2:0 ✺
07.06.26	Francesco Forti - Luca Castagnola	2:1 ✺
04.06.26	Pierluigi Basile - Francesco Forti	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWWWL
- Andrea Guerrieri
ATP Challenger
10.06.26	Alexander Vasilev - Andrea Guerrieri	0:2 ✺
08.06.26	Andrea Guerrieri - Dalibor Svrcina	2:1 ✺
22.05.26	Andrea Guerrieri - Max Alcala Gurri	0:2 ✺
21.05.26	Andrea Guerrieri - Carlo Alberto Caniato	2:0 ✺
20.05.26	Andrea Guerrieri - Gabriele Piraino	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWLWW

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