Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Nonthaburi 3 (Thailand) - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 12 January 2025, Sunday


	Francesco Maestrelli		Masamichi Imamura

	1	2
			Watch
	1.48	2.4
	1.52	2.36	Watch
	1.53	2.4	Watch
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.53	2.4	Watch
	1.52	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.85)	2.36 ↑ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francesco Maestrelli
60.8%

Masamichi Imamura
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

51%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francesco Maestrelli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Francesco Maestrelli's performance.

Masamichi Imamura has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Masamichi Imamura might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francesco Maestrelli than the current prediction. (-11.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Francesco Maestrelli that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Masamichi Imamura than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Masamichi Imamura could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Francesco Maestrelli - Masamichi Imamura Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Maestrelli is ranked ATP: 242. Imamura is ranked ATP: 353.

Recent matches Maestrelli is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Imamura is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Imamura could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Maestrelli will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Francesco Maestrelli - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Masamichi Imamura - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francesco Maestrelli
ATP Challenger
07.01.25	Jie Cui - Francesco Maestrelli	2:0 ✺
06.01.25	Christian Langmo - Francesco Maestrelli	1:2 ✺
26.11.24	Francesco Maestrelli - Henrique Rocha	Canceled ✺
24.11.24	Francesco Maestrelli - Luca Nardi	0:2 ✺
23.11.24	Francesco Maestrelli - August Holmgren	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LW?LW
- Masamichi Imamura
ATP Challenger
07.01.25	Yusuke Takahashi - Masamichi Imamura	Imamura M. retired ✺
28.12.24	Masamichi Imamura - Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong	0:2 ✺
26.11.24	Masamichi Imamura - Chak Lam Coleman Wong	1:2 ✺
21.11.24	Masamichi Imamura - Yuta Shimizu	0:2 ✺
17.11.24	Masamichi Imamura - Dane Sweeny	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 ?LLLW

Francesco Maestrelli - Masamichi Imamura: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide