Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bergamo, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 18 November 2025, Tuesday


	Francesco Maestrelli		Emil Ruusuvuori

	1	2
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.23	1.58	Watch
	2.38	1.6
	1.68	2.08	Watch
	2.08	1.67	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↓ (2.62)	1.69 ↑ (1.44)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francesco Maestrelli
43.7%

Emil Ruusuvuori
56.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

64.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

63.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francesco Maestrelli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Francesco Maestrelli's performance.

Emil Ruusuvuori has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Emil Ruusuvuori might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francesco Maestrelli than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Francesco Maestrelli that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Emil Ruusuvuori than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Emil Ruusuvuori could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Francesco Maestrelli - Emil Ruusuvuori Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ruusuvuori (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Maestrelli is ranked ATP: 158. Ruusuvuori is ranked ATP: 544.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Maestrelli may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Ruusuvuori is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francesco Maestrelli
ATP Challenger
12.11.25	Francesco Maestrelli - Vit Kopriva	0:2 ✺
11.11.25	Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg - Francesco Maestrelli	1:2 ✺
31.10.25	Francesco Maestrelli - Titouan Droguet	0:2 ✺
30.10.25	Francesco Maestrelli - David Pichler	2:0 ✺
28.10.25	Shintaro Mochizuki - Francesco Maestrelli	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LWLWW
- Emil Ruusuvuori
ATP Challenger
06.11.25	Emil Ruusuvuori - Otto Virtanen	0:2 ✺
04.11.25	Emil Ruusuvuori - Lukas Neumayer	2:0 ✺
22.10.25	Emil Ruusuvuori - Francesco Passaro	1:2 ✺
20.10.25	Vitaliy Sachko - Emil Ruusuvuori	0:2 ✺
ATP Brussels
14.10.25	Emil Ruusuvuori - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LWLWL

Francesco Maestrelli - Emil Ruusuvuori: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide