Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lyon 2, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 11 November 2025, Tuesday


	Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg		Francesco Maestrelli

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
			Watch
	1.55	2.25
	1.69	2.21
	1.54	2.29	Watch
			Watch
	1.65	2.11	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.57)	2.22 ↓ (2.25)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
58.1%

Francesco Maestrelli
41.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.9%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Francesco Maestrelli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francesco Maestrelli than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg - Francesco Maestrelli Predictions

Users Predictions: Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Gueymard Wayenburg is ranked ATP: 219. Maestrelli is ranked ATP: 154.

Gueymard Wayenburg is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Maestrelli has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Gueymard Wayenburg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Gueymard Wayenburg is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Gueymard Wayenburg won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Francesco Maestrelli - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 41.1%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
ATP Challenger
08.11.25	Otto Virtanen - Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg	2:0 ✺
07.11.25	Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg - Giulio Zeppieri	2:0 ✺
05.11.25	Matej Dodig - Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg	0:2 ✺
04.11.25	Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg - Borna Gojo	2:1 ✺
03.11.25	Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg - Tom Gentzsch	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 LWWWW
- Francesco Maestrelli
ATP Challenger
31.10.25	Francesco Maestrelli - Titouan Droguet	0:2 ✺
30.10.25	Francesco Maestrelli - David Pichler	2:0 ✺
28.10.25	Shintaro Mochizuki - Francesco Maestrelli	1:2 ✺
23.10.25	Francesco Maestrelli - Hugo Gaston	0:2 ✺
22.10.25	Francesco Maestrelli - Harry Wendelken	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
01.11.24	Francesco Maestrelli - Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg	2:0

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg - Francesco Maestrelli: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide