Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: PERUGIA (ITALY), CLAY - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 16 June 2023, Friday


	Francesco Maestrelli		Fabian Marozsan

	1	2
	3.25	1.33	Watch
	3.2	1.3
	3.25	1.33
	3.43	1.36
	3	1.36	Watch
	3.24	1.32	Watch
	3.2	1.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.22 ↑ (2.65)	1.33 ↓ (1.4)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francesco Maestrelli
29.3%

Fabian Marozsan
70.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.6%

65.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

68.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francesco Maestrelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Francesco Maestrelli's form might have worsened.

Fabian Marozsan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fabian Marozsan's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francesco Maestrelli than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fabian Marozsan than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	0%	72.7%

Francesco Maestrelli - Fabian Marozsan Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Maestrelli will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Marozsan will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Marozsan: 46.4% – 99%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Marozsan could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Marozsan is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francesco Maestrelli
ATP Challenger
15.06.23	Stefano Travaglia - Francesco Maestrelli	0:2 ✺
14.06.23	Renzo Olivo - Francesco Maestrelli	0:2 ✺
29.05.23	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Francesco Maestrelli	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
23.05.23	Francesco Maestrelli - Adrian Andreev	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.05.23	Kimmer Coppejans - Francesco Maestrelli	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWLLL
- Fabian Marozsan
ATP Challenger
15.06.23	Alvaro Lopez San Martin - Fabian Marozsan	0:2 ✺
13.06.23	Franco Agamenone - Fabian Marozsan	0:2 ✺
07.06.23	Rudolf Molleker - Fabian Marozsan	2:0 ✺
05.06.23	Hernan Casanova - Fabian Marozsan	0:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
24.05.23	Juncheng Shang - Fabian Marozsan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WWLWL

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