Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 12 (Italy), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 7 October 2024, Monday


	Francesco Maestrelli		Filippo Romano

	1	2
	1.2	3.9
	1.21	3.85
	1.21	4.07
	1.21	3.92	Watch
	1.2	4.33
	1.22	3.91	Watch
	1.21	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.21 ↓ (1.33)	3.98 ↑ (3.11)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francesco Maestrelli
76.7%

Filippo Romano
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.1%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.2%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francesco Maestrelli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Francesco Maestrelli's performance.

Filippo Romano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Filippo Romano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francesco Maestrelli than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Francesco Maestrelli that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Filippo Romano than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Filippo Romano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Francesco Maestrelli - Filippo Romano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Maestrelli is ranked ATP: 319. Romano is ranked ATP: 795.

Maestrelli has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Romano is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Maestrelli could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Maestrelli is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francesco Maestrelli
ITF Tournaments
01.10.24	Oleksii Krutykh - Francesco Maestrelli	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.09.24	Francesco Maestrelli - Pol Martin Tiffon	0:2 ✺
09.09.24	Francesco Maestrelli - Jelle Sels	1:2 ✺
02.09.24	Benjamin Hassan - Francesco Maestrelli	2:1 ✺
14.08.24	Francesco Maestrelli - Luka Pavlovic	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Filippo Romano
ATP Challenger
16.09.24	Genaro Alberto Olivieri - Filippo Romano	2:0 ✺
15.09.24	Filippo Romano - Facundo Juarez	2:0 ✺
10.09.24	Filippo Romano - Alex Marti Pujolras	1:2 ✺
09.09.24	Filippo Romano - Georgi Georgiev	2:0 ✺
08.09.24	Lewie Lane - Filippo Romano	Lane L. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LWLW?

Francesco Maestrelli - Filippo Romano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide