Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Tenerife, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Tenerife 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Finland	18:15	Veikkaus TV


	Francesco Maestrelli		Pol Martin Tiffon

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Francesco Maestrelli
64.5%

Pol Martin Tiffon
35.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

67%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.5%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francesco Maestrelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Pol Martin Tiffon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francesco Maestrelli than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pol Martin Tiffon than the current prediction. (-4%)

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Maestrelli (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Maestrelli is ranked ATP: 117. Martin Tiffon is ranked ATP: 265.

Right now, both players are showing solid form.

Martin Tiffon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Maestrelli is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Maestrelli won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francesco Maestrelli
ATP Challenger
06.02.26	Francesco Maestrelli - George Loffhagen	2:0 ✺
04.02.26	Francesco Maestrelli - Abedallah Shelbayh	2:0 ✺
03.02.26	Francesco Maestrelli - Mathys Erhard	2:0 ✺
ATP Australian Open
21.01.26	Francesco Maestrelli - Novak Djokovic	0:3 ✺
19.01.26	Terence Atmane - Francesco Maestrelli	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WWWLW
- Pol Martin Tiffon
ATP Challenger
06.02.26	Lorenzo Giustino - Pol Martin Tiffon	0:2 ✺
05.02.26	Pol Martin Tiffon - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	2:1 ✺
03.02.26	Sergio Callejon Hernando - Pol Martin Tiffon	0:2 ✺
29.01.26	Stefanos Sakellaridis - Pol Martin Tiffon	2:0 ✺
27.01.26	Maximus Jones - Pol Martin Tiffon	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWWLW

ATP Challenger
17.09.24	Francesco Maestrelli - Pol Martin Tiffon	0:2

Francesco Maestrelli - Pol Martin Tiffon