Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Rome, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 21 April 2025, Monday


	Francesco Maestrelli		Henri Squire

	1	2
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.55	1.45	Watch
	2.35	1.53	Watch
	2.33	1.62
	2.32	1.58	Watch
	2.62	1.44	Watch
	2.31	1.57	Watch
	2.35	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↓ (3.25)	1.53 ↑ (1.3)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francesco Maestrelli
38.7%

Henri Squire
61.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.6%

71.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32%

68%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francesco Maestrelli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Francesco Maestrelli's performance.

Henri Squire has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Henri Squire might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francesco Maestrelli than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Francesco Maestrelli that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Henri Squire than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Henri Squire could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Francesco Maestrelli - Henri Squire Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Maestrelli will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Squire will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Francesco Maestrelli will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Maestrelli is ranked ATP: 296. Squire is ranked ATP: 220.

Maestrelli is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Squire has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Squire could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Squire is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francesco Maestrelli
ATP Challenger
06.04.25	Francesco Maestrelli - Andrea Picchione	0:2 ✺
01.04.25	Francesco Maestrelli - Vitaliy Sachko	0:2 ✺
31.03.25	Francesco Maestrelli - Matthew Dellavedova	2:1 ✺
24.03.25	Francesco Maestrelli - Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco	0:2 ✺
19.03.25	Francesco Maestrelli - Enrico Dalla Valle	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLWLL
- Henri Squire
ATP Munich
12.04.25	Learner Tien - Henri Squire	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
01.04.25	Vilius Gaubas - Henri Squire	2:0 ✺
26.03.25	Dusan Lajovic - Henri Squire	2:0 ✺
19.03.25	Dimitar Kuzmanov - Henri Squire	2:0 ✺
05.03.25	Titouan Droguet - Henri Squire	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Francesco Maestrelli - Henri Squire: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide