Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Rovereto (Italy), hard (indoor) - Semi-finals

Date: 23 November 2024, Saturday


	Francesco Maestrelli		August Holmgren

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	1.95	1.75
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.08	1.79
	2.04	1.82	Watch
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.02	1.73	Watch
	2	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.39)	1.74 ↑ (1.51)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francesco Maestrelli
46.3%

August Holmgren
53.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

61.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

60.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francesco Maestrelli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Francesco Maestrelli's performance.

August Holmgren has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and August Holmgren might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francesco Maestrelli than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Francesco Maestrelli that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for August Holmgren than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that August Holmgren could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	0%	44.4%

Francesco Maestrelli - August Holmgren Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Maestrelli will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Holmgren will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Maestrelli: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Maestrelli is ranked ATP: 284. Holmgren is ranked ATP: 197.

Maestrelli is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Holmgren is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Maestrelli could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Holmgren will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francesco Maestrelli
ATP Challenger
22.11.24	Dino Prizmic - Francesco Maestrelli	1:2 ✺
20.11.24	Michael Agwi - Francesco Maestrelli	1:2 ✺
18.11.24	Francesco Maestrelli - Pierre-Hugues Herbert	2:0 ✺
11.11.24	Maxime Janvier - Francesco Maestrelli	2:0 ✺
10.11.24	Noah Karma - Francesco Maestrelli	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WWWLW
- August Holmgren
ATP Challenger
22.11.24	Alexey Vatutin - August Holmgren	0:2 ✺
20.11.24	Federico Arnaboldi - August Holmgren	0:2 ✺
18.11.24	Jules Marie - August Holmgren	0:2 ✺
12.11.24	Borna Coric - August Holmgren	2:1 ✺
07.11.24	Luca Nardi - August Holmgren	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWWLL

Francesco Maestrelli - August Holmgren: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide