Match Info

Date: 22 May 2022, Sunday


	Francesco Maestrelli		Matteo Arnaldi

	1	2
	2.2	1.61	Watch
	2.25	1.57
	2.23	1.62
	2.21	1.57
	2.46	1.57
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.56	1.51	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (2.09)	1.58 ↓ (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francesco Maestrelli
40.7%

Matteo Arnaldi
59.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

55.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

57.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francesco Maestrelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Matteo Arnaldi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francesco Maestrelli than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Francesco Maestrelli - Matteo Arnaldi Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Maestrelli will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Arnaldi will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Maestrelli is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Arnaldi is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Maestrelli could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Arnaldi will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francesco Maestrelli
ATP Challenger
21.05.22	Francesco Maestrelli - Alexis Galarneau	2:0 ✺
20.05.22	Francesco Maestrelli - Mathias Bourgue	2:1 ✺
19.05.22	Francesco Maestrelli - Billy Harris	2:1 ✺
17.05.22	Oleksii Krutykh - Francesco Maestrelli	1:2 ✺
17.05.22	Nicolas Moreno De Alboran - Francesco Maestrelli	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWWW?
- Matteo Arnaldi
ATP Challenger
21.05.22	Matteo Arnaldi - Hernan Casanova	Casanova H. retired ✺
20.05.22	Dan Added - Matteo Arnaldi	0:2 ✺
19.05.22	Pawel Cias - Matteo Arnaldi	0:2 ✺
17.05.22	Francesco Forti - Matteo Arnaldi	0:2 ✺
ATP Roma
08.05.22	Marin Cilic - Matteo Arnaldi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 ?WWWL

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