Match Info

Date: 20 May 2022, Friday


	Francesco Maestrelli		Mathias Bourgue

	1	2
	1.9	1.8	Watch
	1.85	1.85
	1.81	1.98
	1.83	1.84
	1.81	2.05
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.86	1.94	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (1.92)	1.9 ↑ (1.89)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francesco Maestrelli
50.8%

Mathias Bourgue
49.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

50.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.8%

50.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francesco Maestrelli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Mathias Bourgue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francesco Maestrelli than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mathias Bourgue than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Francesco Maestrelli - Mathias Bourgue Predictions

Users Predictions: Francesco Maestrelli will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Maestrelli is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Bourgue is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Maestrelli could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francesco Maestrelli
ATP Challenger
19.05.22	Francesco Maestrelli - Billy Harris	2:1 ✺
17.05.22	Oleksii Krutykh - Francesco Maestrelli	1:2 ✺
17.05.22	Nicolas Moreno De Alboran - Francesco Maestrelli	Canceled ✺
ITF Tournaments
13.05.22	Michael Geerts - Francesco Maestrelli	2:1 ✺
13.05.22	Mattia Bellucci - Francesco Maestrelli	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WW?LW
- Mathias Bourgue
ATP Challenger
19.05.22	Yibing Wu - Mathias Bourgue	Wu Y. retired ✺
17.05.22	Davide Galoppini - Mathias Bourgue	1:2 ✺
09.05.22	Mathias Bourgue - Andrea Pellegrino	0:2 ✺
08.05.22	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Mathias Bourgue	0:2 ✺
03.05.22	Mathias Bourgue - Alexandre Muller	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 ?WLWL

Francesco Maestrelli - Mathias Bourgue: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide