Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bad Waltersdorf, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 15 September 2025, Monday


	Francesco Passaro		Dusan Lajovic

	1	2
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.95	1.75
			Watch
	1.85	1.85	Watch
	1.88	1.84	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.83)	1.81 ↓ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francesco Passaro
48.8%

Dusan Lajovic
51.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

51.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francesco Passaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Dusan Lajovic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

The ML Model estimate for Francesco Passaro aligns with the current prediction.

The ML Model estimate for Dusan Lajovic aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	0%	42.9%

Francesco Passaro - Dusan Lajovic Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Passaro will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Lajovic will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Passaro is ranked ATP: 145. Lajovic is ranked ATP: 127.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Lajovic may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Passaro won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Francesco Passaro - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.

Dusan Lajovic - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francesco Passaro
ATP Challenger
10.09.25	Francesco Passaro - Henri Squire	1:2 ✺
08.09.25	Francesco Passaro - Dorian Juszczak	2:0 ✺
02.09.25	Thiago Monteiro - Francesco Passaro	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
25.08.25	Francesco Passaro - Flavio Cobolli	2:3 ✺
22.08.25	Francesco Passaro - Henrique Rocha	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWLLW
- Dusan Lajovic
ATP Challenger
05.09.25	Genaro Alberto Olivieri - Dusan Lajovic	Lajovic D. retired ✺
04.09.25	Dusan Lajovic - Pablo Carreno-Busta	2:1 ✺
03.09.25	Dusan Lajovic - Frederico Ferreira Silva	2:0 ✺
01.09.25	Dusan Lajovic - Elias Ymer	2:1 ✺
ATP US Open
19.08.25	Dusan Lajovic - Luca Van Assche	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 ?WWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
13.06.22	Francesco Passaro - Dusan Lajovic	0:2

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