Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 22 August 2025, Friday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Francesco Passaro		Henrique Rocha

	1	2
	1.83	1.83
	1.88	1.88
	1.97	1.86
	1.91	1.91	Watch
	1.9	1.9	Watch
	1.74	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.74)	1.9 ↓ (2.02)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francesco Passaro
50.4%

Henrique Rocha
49.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9%

47.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francesco Passaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Henrique Rocha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francesco Passaro than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Henrique Rocha than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Francesco Passaro - Henrique Rocha Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Passaro will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Rocha will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Passaro (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Passaro is ranked ATP: 121. Rocha is ranked ATP: 168.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Passaro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francesco Passaro
ATP US Open
21.08.25	Francesco Passaro - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez	2:1 ✺
18.08.25	Francesco Passaro - Yu Hsiou Hsu	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.08.25	Alejandro Tabilo - Francesco Passaro	2:0 ✺
ATP Umag
22.07.25	Francesco Passaro - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	1:2 ✺
20.07.25	Matej Dodig - Francesco Passaro	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWLLW
- Henrique Rocha
ATP US Open
21.08.25	Bernard Tomic - Henrique Rocha	0:2 ✺
19.08.25	Henrique Rocha - Pierre-Hugues Herbert	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.08.25	Mattia Bellucci - Henrique Rocha	2:0 ✺
13.08.25	Henrique Rocha - Martin Damm	2:1 ✺
01.08.25	Henrique Rocha - Alejandro Moro Canas	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWLWL

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