Match Info

Date: 8 April 2022, Friday


	Francesco Passaro		Gianluca Mager

	1	2
	3	1.36	Watch
	2.95	1.35
	3.15	1.35	Watch
	2.95	1.33
	3.11	1.38
	3	1.36
	3.15	1.36	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.04 ↓ (3.15)	1.36 (1.36)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francesco Passaro
30.8%

Gianluca Mager
69.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.2%

69.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7%

71.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francesco Passaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Gianluca Mager has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francesco Passaro than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gianluca Mager than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.8%	0%	46.2%

Francesco Passaro - Gianluca Mager Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Passaro will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Mager will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Passaro: 26.7% – 80.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Passaro in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Mager is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Mager could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Mager is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francesco Passaro
ATP Challenger
07.04.22	Francesco Passaro - Mate Valkusz	2:1 ✺
06.04.22	Alexandre Muller - Francesco Passaro	0:2 ✺
05.04.22	Borna Gojo - Francesco Passaro	0:2 ✺
04.04.22	Francesco Passaro - Mathieu Perchicot	2:0 ✺
03.04.22	Ernests Gulbis - Francesco Passaro	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21 WWWWW
- Gianluca Mager
ATP Challenger
07.04.22	Thomas Fabbiano - Gianluca Mager	0:2 ✺
06.04.22	Evgeny Karlovskiy - Gianluca Mager	0:2 ✺
04.04.22	Francesco Forti - Gianluca Mager	0:2 ✺
29.03.22	Andrea Vavassori - Gianluca Mager	Mager G. retired ✺
21.03.22	Gianluca Mager - Duje Ajdukovic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WWW?L

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