Match Info

Date: 7 April 2022, Thursday


	Thomas Fabbiano		Gianluca Mager

	1	2
	3.75	1.25	Watch
	3.5	1.26
	3.65	1.28	Watch
	3.45	1.25
	3.8	1.28
	3.75	1.25
	3.6	1.29	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.64 ↑ (2.62)	1.27 ↓ (1.44)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thomas Fabbiano
25.8%

Gianluca Mager
74.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

64.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4%

64.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thomas Fabbiano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Thomas Fabbiano's form might have worsened.

Gianluca Mager has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gianluca Mager's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thomas Fabbiano than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Thomas Fabbiano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gianluca Mager than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gianluca Mager, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Thomas Fabbiano - Gianluca Mager Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Fabbiano could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Mager is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Thomas Fabbiano
ATP Challenger
06.04.22	Thomas Fabbiano - Vitaliy Sachko	2:1 ✺
05.04.22	Thomas Fabbiano - Jelle Sels	2:1 ✺
28.03.22	Thomas Fabbiano - Damir Dzumhur	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
21.03.22	Thanasi Kokkinakis - Thomas Fabbiano	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.03.22	Mikhail Kukushkin - Thomas Fabbiano	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWLLL
- Gianluca Mager
ATP Challenger
06.04.22	Evgeny Karlovskiy - Gianluca Mager	0:2 ✺
04.04.22	Francesco Forti - Gianluca Mager	0:2 ✺
29.03.22	Andrea Vavassori - Gianluca Mager	Mager G. retired ✺
21.03.22	Gianluca Mager - Duje Ajdukovic	0:2 ✺
15.03.22	Andrea Pellegrino - Gianluca Mager	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WW?LL

Thomas Fabbiano - Gianluca Mager: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide