Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Iasi, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 6 July 2026, Monday


	Maks Kasnikowski		Federico Cina

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.05	1.70	Watch
	2	1.7	Watch
	2.17	1.75
	2.06	1.68	Watch
	2.16	1.71	Watch
	2.01	1.7	Watch
	2	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.4)	1.72 ↑ (1.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maks Kasnikowski
45.5%

Federico Cina
54.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

61.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4%

67.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maks Kasnikowski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Maks Kasnikowski's performance.

Federico Cina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Federico Cina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maks Kasnikowski than the current prediction. (-13.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Maks Kasnikowski that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Federico Cina than the current prediction. (+13.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Federico Cina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Maks Kasnikowski - Federico Cina Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Kasnikowski will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Cina will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cina: 40% – 93.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kasnikowski is ranked ATP: 284. Cina is ranked ATP: 174.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Cina may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Cina will hold a modest advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maks Kasnikowski
ATP Challenger
04.07.26	Maks Kasnikowski - Zsombor Piros	1:2 ✺
03.07.26	Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg - Maks Kasnikowski	0:2 ✺
01.07.26	Maks Kasnikowski - Andres Santamarta Roig	2:0 ✺
29.06.26	Maks Kasnikowski - Andres Andrade	2:0 ✺
17.06.26	Maks Kasnikowski - Jan Choinski	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWWWL
- Federico Cina
ATP Challenger
29.06.26	Andres Santamarta Roig - Federico Cina	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
24.06.26	Hugo Gaston - Federico Cina	2:0 ✺
22.06.26	Gianluca Cadenasso - Federico Cina	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.06.26	Federico Cina - Taro Daniel	1:2 ✺
12.06.26	Zdenek Kolar - Federico Cina	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLWLW

Maks Kasnikowski - Federico Cina: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide