Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: MILAN (ITALY), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 4 July 2023, Tuesday


	Francesco Passaro		Matteo Gigante

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.75	1.95
	1.84	1.9
	1.83	2.01
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.82	1.91	Watch
	1.8	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.62)	1.9 ↓ (2.16)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francesco Passaro
51.2%

Matteo Gigante
48.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.2%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.3%

42.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francesco Passaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Francesco Passaro's form might have worsened.

Matteo Gigante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Matteo Gigante's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francesco Passaro than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Francesco Passaro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Gigante than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Matteo Gigante, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	0%	36.4%

Francesco Passaro - Matteo Gigante Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Passaro will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Gigante will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Passaro: 35.2% – 92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Passaro is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Gigante is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Gigante could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both players are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Passaro won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francesco Passaro
ATP Wimbledon
26.06.23	Denis Kudla - Francesco Passaro	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
20.06.23	Salvatore Caruso - Francesco Passaro	2:1 ✺
14.06.23	Andrea Pellegrino - Francesco Passaro	2:0 ✺
03.06.23	Francesco Passaro - Francisco Comesana	0:2 ✺
02.06.23	Francesco Passaro - Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLLLW
- Matteo Gigante
ATP Wimbledon
29.06.23	Harold Mayot - Matteo Gigante	3:0 ✺
28.06.23	Matteo Gigante - Gabriel Diallo	2:0 ✺
26.06.23	Matteo Gigante - Harry Wendelken	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
21.06.23	Matteo Gigante - Stefano Travaglia	0:2 ✺
19.06.23	Jozef Kovalik - Matteo Gigante	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
08.02.23	Francesco Passaro - Matteo Gigante	1:2
02.09.22	Matteo Gigante - Francesco Passaro	1:2

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