Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Perugia, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 13 June 2025, Friday


	Andrea Pellegrino		Francesco Passaro

	1	2
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.4	1.5	Watch
			Watch
			Watch
			Watch
	2.48	1.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↓ (2.55)	1.5 ↑ (1.49)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrea Pellegrino
37.9%

Francesco Passaro
62.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.9%

63.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34%

66%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrea Pellegrino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Francesco Passaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrea Pellegrino than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francesco Passaro than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Andrea Pellegrino - Francesco Passaro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Pellegrino is ranked ATP: 173. Passaro is ranked ATP: 141.

In recent matches, Pellegrino has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Passaro is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Pellegrino may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Passaro could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Passaro will win today's game, with odds of 1.49.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Pellegrino won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Andrea Pellegrino - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 36.88%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrea Pellegrino
ATP Challenger
12.06.25	Andrea Pellegrino - Federico Bondioli	2:0 ✺
10.06.25	Andrea Pellegrino - Gabriele Piraino	2:1 ✺
03.06.25	Marko Topo - Andrea Pellegrino	2:0 ✺
14.05.25	Andrea Pellegrino - Daniel Altmaier	0:2 ✺
13.05.25	Andrea Pellegrino - Stefano Napolitano	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WWLLW
- Francesco Passaro
ATP Challenger
12.06.25	Viktor Durasovic - Francesco Passaro	0:2 ✺
10.06.25	Francesco Maestrelli - Francesco Passaro	0:2 ✺
06.06.25	Francesco Passaro - Ignacio Buse	1:2 ✺
04.06.25	Francesco Passaro - Viktor Durasovic	2:0 ✺
03.06.25	Francesco Passaro - Florian Broska	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Munich
14.04.24	Andrea Pellegrino - Francesco Passaro	0:2
ATP Challenger
20.09.23	Francesco Passaro - Andrea Pellegrino	1:2
25.07.23	Francesco Passaro - Andrea Pellegrino	2:1
14.06.23	Andrea Pellegrino - Francesco Passaro	2:0

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