Match Info

Date: 10 March 2021, Wednesday


	Francis Tiafoe		Facundo Bagnis

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.5	2.55
	1.49	2.63	Watch
	1.48	2.55
	1.56	2.6
	1.5	2.6	Watch
	1.52	2.44	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.68)	2.59 ↑ (2.21)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francis Tiafoe
63.3%

Facundo Bagnis
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.9%

43.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.8%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francis Tiafoe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Francis Tiafoe's performance.

Facundo Bagnis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Facundo Bagnis might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francis Tiafoe than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Francis Tiafoe that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Facundo Bagnis than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Facundo Bagnis could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69%	0%	31%

Francis Tiafoe - Facundo Bagnis Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Tiafoe will win (votes: 20 - 69%). Bagnis will win (votes: 9 - 31%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tiafoe: 52.2% – 85.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Bagnis could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Tiafoe will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Tiafoe won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francis Tiafoe
ATP Santiago
08.03.21	Francis Tiafoe - Nicolas Jarry	2:1 ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
04.03.21	Jaume Munar - Francis Tiafoe	2:0 ✺
02.03.21	Facundo Bagnis - Francis Tiafoe	0:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
09.02.21	Novak Djokovic - Francis Tiafoe	3:1 ✺
08.02.21	Francis Tiafoe - Stefano Travaglia	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLWLW
- Facundo Bagnis
ATP Santiago
08.03.21	Facundo Bagnis - Marco Cecchinato	2:1 ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
02.03.21	Facundo Bagnis - Francis Tiafoe	0:2 ✺
ATP Cordoba
27.02.21	Albert Ramos-Vinolas - Facundo Bagnis	2:1 ✺
26.02.21	Jozef Kovalik - Facundo Bagnis	0:2 ✺
24.02.21	Facundo Bagnis - Federico Delbonis	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Buenos Aires
02.03.21	Facundo Bagnis - Francis Tiafoe	0:2
ATP Challenger
28.04.15	Facundo Bagnis - Francis Tiafoe	1:2

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