Match Info

EXHIBITION - MEN: UTS Championship, clay

Date: 17 July 2026, Friday


	Francisco Cerundolo		Cameron Norrie

	1	2
	1.80	1.90
	1.75	1.96
	1.83	1.97	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (2.37)	1.94 ↑ (1.49)

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francisco Cerundolo
52%

Cameron Norrie
48%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

61.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

68.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francisco Cerundolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Francisco Cerundolo's performance.

Cameron Norrie has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cameron Norrie might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francisco Cerundolo than the current prediction. (-20.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Francisco Cerundolo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cameron Norrie than the current prediction. (+20.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cameron Norrie could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Played with special rules.

Cerundolo is ranked ATP: 22. Norrie is ranked ATP: 38.

Cerundolo is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Norrie is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Cerundolo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francisco Cerundolo
Exhibition UTS Championship Men
16.07.26	Francisco Cerundolo - Brandon Nakashima	1:3 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
30.06.26	Jaume Munar - Francisco Cerundolo	3:0 ✺
ATP Eastbourne
24.06.26	Francisco Cerundolo - Thiago Augustin Tirante	Canceled
ATP London
21.06.26	Francisco Cerundolo - Tommy Paul	2:1 ✺
20.06.26	Brandon Nakashima - Francisco Cerundolo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LL?WW
- Cameron Norrie
Exhibition UTS Championship Men
16.07.26	Cameron Norrie - Corentin Moutet	3:1 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
29.06.26	Michael Zheng - Cameron Norrie	3:2 ✺
Exhibition Hurlingham Men
25.06.26	Cameron Norrie - Jiri Lehecka	0:2
24.06.26	Jannik Sinner - Cameron Norrie	2:0
ATP London
16.06.26	Cameron Norrie - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Lyon
26.05.23	Francisco Cerundolo - Cameron Norrie	2:0
ATP Monte Carlo
10.04.23	Cameron Norrie - Francisco Cerundolo	0:2
ATP Lyon
17.05.22	Cameron Norrie - Francisco Cerundolo	2:0

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