Match Info

Date: 13 October 2022, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2
Denmark	TV2 Sport X
France	beIN Sports Max
Portugal	Sport TV
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Francisco Cerundolo		Manuel Guinard

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.42	2.8
	1.46	2.75
	1.43	2.7
	1.48	2.87
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.35	3.2	Watch
	1.45	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.5)	2.82 ↑ (2.38)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francisco Cerundolo
66.3%

Manuel Guinard
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.3%

38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francisco Cerundolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Manuel Guinard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francisco Cerundolo than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Francisco Cerundolo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manuel Guinard than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Manuel Guinard could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.2%	0%	53.8%

Francisco Cerundolo - Manuel Guinard Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Cerundolo will win (votes: 12 - 46.2%). Guinard will win (votes: 14 - 53.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Guinard: 34.6% – 73%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Cerundolo has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Guinard is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Guinard could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Cerundolo is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francisco Cerundolo
ATP Astana
03.10.22	Francisco Cerundolo - Hubert Hurkacz	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
17.09.22	Francisco Cerundolo - Borna Coric	0:2 ✺
16.09.22	Jannik Sinner - Francisco Cerundolo	2:1 ✺
ATP US Open
29.08.22	Francisco Cerundolo - Andy Murray	0:3 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
15.08.22	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Francisco Cerundolo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Manuel Guinard
ATP Gijon
11.10.22	Manuel Guinard - Fabio Fognini	Fognini F. retired ✺
09.10.22	Manuel Guinard - Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo	2:1 ✺
08.10.22	Manuel Guinard - Eduard Esteve Lobato	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
26.09.22	Manuel Guinard - Gian Marco Moroni	0:2 ✺
21.09.22	Manuel Guinard - Timofey Skatov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 ?WWLL

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