Match Info

Date: 29 August 2022, Monday

Location: Louis Armstrong Stadium (New York)


	Francisco Cerundolo		Andy Murray

	1	2
	2.2	1.66	Watch
	2.1	1.7
	2.12	1.73
	2.12	1.73
	2.2	1.75
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.14	1.71	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.59)	1.72 ↑ (1.52)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francisco Cerundolo
44.5%

Andy Murray
55.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37%

63%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6%

64.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francisco Cerundolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Francisco Cerundolo's performance.

Andy Murray has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Andy Murray might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francisco Cerundolo than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Francisco Cerundolo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andy Murray than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Andy Murray could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.2%	0%	18.8%

Francisco Cerundolo - Andy Murray Predictions

Users Predictions: 138 users predict this event. Cerundolo will win (votes: 112 - 81.2%). Murray will win (votes: 26 - 18.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cerundolo: 74.7% – 87.7%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Recent matches Cerundolo is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Murray is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Murray could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francisco Cerundolo
ATP Cincinnati
15.08.22	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Francisco Cerundolo	2:1 ✺
ATP Montreal
08.08.22	Francisco Cerundolo - Karen Khachanov	1:2 ✺
ATP Hamburg
23.07.22	Lorenzo Musetti - Francisco Cerundolo	2:0 ✺
22.07.22	Aslan Karatsev - Francisco Cerundolo	1:2 ✺
21.07.22	Francisco Cerundolo - Andrey Rublev	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LLLWW
- Andy Murray
ATP Cincinnati
17.08.22	Andy Murray - Cameron Norrie	1:2 ✺
15.08.22	Stanislas Wawrinka - Andy Murray	1:2 ✺
13.08.22	Andy Murray - Taro Daniel	Canceled ✺
ATP Montreal
09.08.22	Andy Murray - Taylor Harry Fritz	0:2 ✺
ATP Washington
01.08.22	Andy Murray - Mikael Ymer	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LW?LL

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