Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Madrid, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 4 September 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Madrid 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Francisco Rocha		Anas Mazdrashki

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Francisco Rocha
42.3%

Anas Mazdrashki
57.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

49.5%

50.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4%

53.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francisco Rocha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Francisco Rocha's form might have worsened.

Anas Mazdrashki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Anas Mazdrashki's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francisco Rocha than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Anas Mazdrashki than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Rocha is ranked ATP: 812. Mazdrashki is ranked ATP: 967.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Rocha may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francisco Rocha
ITF Tournaments
03.09.25	Francisco Rocha - Asier Meneses Perny	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
28.08.25	Francisco Rocha - Guy Den Ouden	0:2 ✺
26.08.25	Francisco Rocha - Maxwell McKennon	McKennon M. retired ✺
27.07.25	Francisco Rocha - Mae Malige	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
23.07.25	Lucas Poullain - Francisco Rocha	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 WL?LL
- Anas Mazdrashki
ITF Tournaments
03.09.25	Anas Mazdrashki - Carlos Giraldi	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.08.25	Anas Mazdrashki - Dali Blanch	0:2 ✺
12.08.25	Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco - Anas Mazdrashki	2:0 ✺
11.08.25	Franco Agamenone - Anas Mazdrashki	0:2 ✺
10.08.25	Anas Mazdrashki - Maxime Chazal	Chazal M. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLLW?

Francisco Rocha - Anas Mazdrashki