Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Porto 2, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 26 August 2025, Tuesday


	Francisco Rocha		Maxwell McKennon

	1	2
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.8	1.9
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.9	1.93
	1.97	1.78	Watch
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.82	1.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.72)	1.89 ↓ (2.07)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francisco Rocha
50.7%

Maxwell McKennon
49.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.7%

45.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53%

47%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francisco Rocha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Maxwell McKennon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francisco Rocha than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maxwell McKennon than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	0%	71.4%

Francisco Rocha - Maxwell McKennon Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Rocha will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). McKennon will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Maxwell McKennon will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Rocha is ranked ATP: 812. McKennon is ranked ATP: 469.

Rocha is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

McKennon has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Rocha may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francisco Rocha
ATP Challenger
27.07.25	Francisco Rocha - Mae Malige	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
23.07.25	Lucas Poullain - Francisco Rocha	2:0 ✺
16.07.25	Axel Nefve - Francisco Rocha	2:0 ✺
04.07.25	Gianluca Cadenasso - Francisco Rocha	2:0 ✺
03.07.25	Noa Vukadin - Francisco Rocha	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLLLW
- Maxwell McKennon
ATP Challenger
25.08.25	Maxwell McKennon - Szymon Kielan	2:0 ✺
24.08.25	Maxwell McKennon - Jan Jermar	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
20.08.25	Maxwell McKennon - Tiago Silva	McKennon M. retired ✺
13.08.25	Joris De Loore - Maxwell McKennon	2:1 ✺
07.08.25	Maxwell McKennon - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WW?LL

Francisco Rocha - Maxwell McKennon: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide