Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Porto 2, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 28 August 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Porto 2 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Francisco Rocha		Guy Den Ouden

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Francisco Rocha
13.7%

Guy Den Ouden
86.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

28.5%

71.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francisco Rocha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Francisco Rocha's form might have worsened.

Guy Den Ouden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Guy Den Ouden's recent form is better than expected.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Rocha is ranked ATP: 812. Den Ouden is ranked ATP: 161.

Rocha is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Den Ouden has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Rocha may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Den Ouden is the clear favorite.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francisco Rocha
ATP Challenger
26.08.25	Francisco Rocha - Maxwell McKennon	McKennon M. retired ✺
27.07.25	Francisco Rocha - Mae Malige	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
23.07.25	Lucas Poullain - Francisco Rocha	2:0 ✺
16.07.25	Axel Nefve - Francisco Rocha	2:0 ✺
04.07.25	Gianluca Cadenasso - Francisco Rocha	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0.9 ?LLLL
- Guy Den Ouden
ATP Challenger
26.08.25	Mili Poljicak - Guy Den Ouden	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
18.08.25	Guy Den Ouden - Daniel Elahi Galan	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
03.08.25	Guy Den Ouden - Yannick Hanfmann	1:2 ✺
03.08.25	Guy Den Ouden - Jerome Kym	2:0 ✺
02.08.25	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Guy Den Ouden	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLLWW

Francisco Rocha - Guy Den Ouden