Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Francavilla - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 4 May 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Francavilla 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Franco Agamenone		Andrea Guerrieri

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Franco Agamenone
40.3%

Andrea Guerrieri
59.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38%

62%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6%

58.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Franco Agamenone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Andrea Guerrieri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Franco Agamenone than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrea Guerrieri than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Agamenone is ranked ATP: 270. Guerrieri is ranked ATP: 338.

Agamenone has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Guerrieri is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Guerrieri may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Guerrieri is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Guerrieri will win today's game, with odds of 1.49.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Franco Agamenone
ATP Challenger
03.05.26	Franco Agamenone - James Watt	2:0 ✺
13.04.26	Felix Gill - Franco Agamenone	2:1 ✺
12.04.26	Cezar Cretu - Franco Agamenone	1:2 ✺
09.04.26	Nerman Fatic - Franco Agamenone	2:1 ✺
07.04.26	Franco Agamenone - Chris Rodesch	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLWLW
- Andrea Guerrieri
ATP Challenger
03.05.26	Benjamin Kittay - Andrea Guerrieri	0:2 ✺
28.04.26	Andrea Guerrieri - Jaime Faria	1:2 ✺
26.04.26	Dalibor Svrcina - Andrea Guerrieri	1:2 ✺
25.04.26	Andrea Guerrieri - Pol Martin Tiffon	2:0 ✺
24.04.26	Filip Cristian Jianu - Andrea Guerrieri	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WLWWW

Franco Agamenone - Andrea Guerrieri