Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Rome, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday


	Andrea Guerrieri		Pol Martin Tiffon

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	1.76	1.96
	1.94	1.97
	1.82	1.9	Watch
	1.73	2
	1.81	1.87	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.76)	1.94 ↓ (1.96)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrea Guerrieri
51.7%

Pol Martin Tiffon
48.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.7%

47.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8%

52.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrea Guerrieri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Pol Martin Tiffon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrea Guerrieri than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pol Martin Tiffon than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	0%	62.5%

Andrea Guerrieri - Pol Martin Tiffon Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Guerrieri will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Martin Tiffon will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Martin Tiffon: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Guerrieri is ranked ATP: 338. Martin Tiffon is ranked ATP: 312.

Guerrieri is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Martin Tiffon's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Guerrieri may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

We predict that Guerrieri will win today's game, with odds of 1.72.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Guerrieri won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrea Guerrieri
ATP Challenger
24.04.26	Filip Cristian Jianu - Andrea Guerrieri	0:2 ✺
23.04.26	Andrea Guerrieri - Arthur Fery	2:0 ✺
21.04.26	Federico Bondioli - Andrea Guerrieri	0:2 ✺
20.04.26	Alex Martinez - Andrea Guerrieri	1:2 ✺
19.04.26	Sebastian Sorger - Andrea Guerrieri	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WWWWW
- Pol Martin Tiffon
ATP Challenger
24.04.26	Andrea Vavassori - Pol Martin Tiffon	1:2 ✺
23.04.26	Pol Martin Tiffon - Nerman Fatic	2:1 ✺
21.04.26	Pol Martin Tiffon - Jonas Forejtek	2:1 ✺
07.04.26	Nerman Fatic - Pol Martin Tiffon	2:1 ✺
03.04.26	Alex Martinez - Pol Martin Tiffon	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
07.06.24	Andrea Guerrieri - Pol Martin Tiffon	0:2

Andrea Guerrieri - Pol Martin Tiffon: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide