Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Targu Mures, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 8 September 2025, Monday


	Franco Agamenone		Max Alcala Gurri

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.95	1.75	Watch
	1.88	1.82	Watch
	2.1	1.76
	1.93	1.79	Watch
			Watch
	1.95	1.78	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.25)	1.79 ↑ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Franco Agamenone
48%

Max Alcala Gurri
52%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

58.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

57.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Franco Agamenone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Franco Agamenone's performance.

Max Alcala Gurri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Max Alcala Gurri might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Franco Agamenone than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Franco Agamenone that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Max Alcala Gurri than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Max Alcala Gurri could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Franco Agamenone - Max Alcala Gurri Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Agamenone will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Alcala Gurri will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Agamenone (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Agamenone is ranked ATP: 403. Alcala Gurri is ranked ATP: 419.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Agamenone may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Max Alcala Gurri - the odds 1.57 are the expected chance of winning is 58.9%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Franco Agamenone
ATP Challenger
31.08.25	Franco Agamenone - Gianluca Cadenasso	1:2 ✺
21.08.25	Joel Schwaerzler - Franco Agamenone	2:0 ✺
20.08.25	Milos Karol - Franco Agamenone	1:2 ✺
19.08.25	Lautaro Midon - Franco Agamenone	0:2 ✺
18.08.25	Federico Bondioli - Franco Agamenone	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LLWWW
- Max Alcala Gurri
ATP Challenger
01.09.25	Max Alcala Gurri - Dominik Kellovsky	1:2 ✺
31.08.25	Max Alcala Gurri - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez	Gonzalez Fernandez M. retired ✺
26.08.25	Frederico Ferreira Silva - Max Alcala Gurri	2:1 ✺
25.08.25	Max Alcala Gurri - Sebastian Gima	2:0 ✺
24.08.25	Max Alcala Gurri - Tomas Luis	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 L?LWW

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