Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Porto 2 - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 25 August 2025, Monday


	Max Alcala Gurri		Sebastian Gima

	1	2
	1.6	2.15
	1.61	2.18	Watch
	1.64	2.23
	1.68	2.13	Watch
	1.67	2.1
	1.61	2.23
	1.41	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.41)	2.25 ↓ (2.71)

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Max Alcala Gurri
58.4%

Sebastian Gima
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.8%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.7%

33.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Max Alcala Gurri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Max Alcala Gurri's form might have worsened.

Sebastian Gima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sebastian Gima's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Max Alcala Gurri than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Max Alcala Gurri, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Gima than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sebastian Gima, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Max Alcala Gurri - Sebastian Gima Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Gima (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Alcala Gurri is ranked ATP: 416. Gima is ranked ATP: 572.

Alcala Gurri has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Gima is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Alcala Gurri may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Alcala Gurri could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Sebastian Gima - the odds 2.71 are the expected chance of winning is 34.22%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Max Alcala Gurri
ATP Challenger
24.08.25	Max Alcala Gurri - Tomas Luis	2:0 ✺
17.08.25	Jozef Kovalik - Max Alcala Gurri	2:0 ✺
07.08.25	Carlos Taberner - Max Alcala Gurri	2:0 ✺
05.08.25	Max Alcala Gurri - Lorenzo Giustino	2:1 ✺
04.08.25	Max Alcala Gurri - Dominik Kellovsky	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLLWW
- Sebastian Gima
ATP Challenger
24.08.25	Lorenzo Bocchi - Sebastian Gima	0:2 ✺
14.08.25	Nerman Fatic - Sebastian Gima	2:0 ✺
13.08.25	Sebastian Gima - Daniel Rincon	2:0 ✺
12.08.25	Franco Roncadelli - Sebastian Gima	1:2 ✺
11.08.25	Thomas Faurel - Sebastian Gima	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WLWWW

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