Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bucaramanga 2, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 27 March 2026, Friday


	Franco Roncadelli		Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
			Watch
	1.65	2.11
	1.75	2.16
	1.66	2.1	Watch
	1.62	2.2
	1.66	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.54)	2.13 ↓ (2.28)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Franco Roncadelli
56.1%

Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
43.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.7%

40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.7%

41.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Franco Roncadelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Franco Roncadelli than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Franco Roncadelli - Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Roncadelli will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Rodriguez will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Roncadelli is ranked ATP: 332. Rodriguez is ranked ATP: 507.

Roncadelli is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Rodriguez has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Roncadelli may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Roncadelli won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1.3:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Franco Roncadelli
ATP Challenger
24.03.26	Franco Roncadelli - Samuel Heredia	2:1 ✺
22.03.26	Franco Roncadelli - Gianluca Cadenasso	0:2 ✺
21.03.26	Franco Roncadelli - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	2:1 ✺
20.03.26	Franco Roncadelli - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	2:1 ✺
19.03.26	Daniel Vallejo - Franco Roncadelli	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.5 WLWWW
- Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
ATP Challenger
25.03.26	Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez - Garrett Johns	2:0 ✺
23.03.26	Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez - Juan Sebastian Gomez	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
14.03.26	Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez - Bruno Fernandez	1:2 ✺
13.03.26	Carlos Maria Zarate - Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez	1:2 ✺
12.03.26	Thiago Cigarran - Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez	Cigarran T. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWLW?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
03.11.25	Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez - Franco Roncadelli	1:2
01.04.24	Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez - Franco Roncadelli	2:0
ITF Tournaments
11.11.23	Franco Roncadelli - Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez	1:2
03.10.23	Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez - Franco Roncadelli	1:2

Franco Roncadelli - Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide