Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Asuncion, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday


	Franco Roncadelli		Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.55	1.45	Watch
	2.6	1.44	Watch
	2.83	1.48
	2.64	1.44	Watch
	2.63	1.44
	2.66	1.42	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↑ (2.34)	1.44 ↓ (1.53)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Franco Roncadelli
35.3%

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
64.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

60.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

56.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Franco Roncadelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Franco Roncadelli than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Franco Roncadelli, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Franco Roncadelli - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino Samudio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Roncadelli is ranked ATP: 332. Varillas is ranked ATP: 290.

Roncadelli is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Varillas has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Roncadelli may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Roncadelli won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - the odds 1.53 are the expected chance of winning is 60.5%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Franco Roncadelli
ATP Challenger
20.03.26	Franco Roncadelli - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	2:1 ✺
19.03.26	Daniel Vallejo - Franco Roncadelli	0:2 ✺
18.03.26	Franco Roncadelli - Andrea Collarini	Collarini A. retired ✺
09.03.26	Franco Roncadelli - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran	0:2 ✺
08.03.26	Franco Roncadelli - Valentin Basel	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 WW?LW
- Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
ATP Challenger
20.03.26	Alex Barrena - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	0:2 ✺
19.03.26	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Juan Carlos Prado Angelo	2:1 ✺
17.03.26	Mariano Kestelboim - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	0:2 ✺
09.03.26	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Gonzalo Bueno	0:2 ✺
05.03.26	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Pedro Boscardin Dias	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
08.11.21	Franco Roncadelli - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	0:2

Franco Roncadelli - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide