Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Asuncion, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 20 March 2026, Friday


	Franco Roncadelli		Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva

	1	2
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.1	1.65	Watch
	2.2	1.6	Watch
	2.32	1.67
	2.22	1.58	Watch
	2.25	1.57
	2.18	1.61	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (2.14)	1.61 ↓ (1.62)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Franco Roncadelli
42.2%

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
57.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.1%

56.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

52.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Franco Roncadelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Franco Roncadelli than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Franco Roncadelli, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	0%	42.9%

Franco Roncadelli - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Roncadelli will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Reis Da Silva will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Roncadelli (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Roncadelli is ranked ATP: 332. Reis Da Silva is ranked ATP: 211.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Roncadelli won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Franco Roncadelli - the odds 2.14 are the expected chance of winning is 43.09%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - the odds 1.62 are the expected chance of winning is 56.91%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Franco Roncadelli
ATP Challenger
19.03.26	Daniel Vallejo - Franco Roncadelli	0:2 ✺
18.03.26	Franco Roncadelli - Andrea Collarini	Collarini A. retired ✺
09.03.26	Franco Roncadelli - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran	0:2 ✺
08.03.26	Franco Roncadelli - Valentin Basel	2:0 ✺
03.03.26	Eduardo Ribeiro - Franco Roncadelli	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 W?LWL
- Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
ATP Challenger
19.03.26	Valerio Aboian - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	0:2 ✺
18.03.26	Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	1:2 ✺
11.03.26	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Pedro Boscardin Dias	1:2 ✺
09.03.26	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Daniel Dutra da Silva	2:1 ✺
04.03.26	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Juan Carlos Prado Angelo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
20.06.25	Franco Roncadelli - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	2:1
23.09.24	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Franco Roncadelli	0:2

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